Anderson, South Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

322
FXUS62 KGSP 021359
AFDGSP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
859 AM EST Mon Feb 2 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No major changes other than the expiration of the Cold Weather
Advisory.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1. Temperatures finally rise above freezing by early afternoon
across most locations but patchy black ice will linger, especially
in shaded areas and higher elevations of the North Carolina
mountains where temperatures remain below freezing.
2. Temperatures gradually warm thru the first half of the
week. Precipitation chances return late Tuesday and linger into
Thursday with mostly dry conditions expected for the remain-
der of the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Key message 1: Temperatures finally rise above freezing by early
afternoon across most locations but patchy black ice will linger,
especially in shaded areas and higher elevations of the North
Carolina mountains where temperatures remain below freezing.

Be extremely careful due to the potential for lingering patchy black
ice on roads, parking lots, sidewalks, driveways, bridges, and
overpasses this morning. A Special Weather Statement for black ice
remains in effect through 10 AM. If traveling, be prepared for
hazardous road conditions, especially on bridges and overpasses as
well as on untreated roadways. Use extra caution when walking on
sidewalks, driveways, and in parking lots.

Temperatures are not expected to warm above freezing until the early
afternoon hours across the lower elevations, though some higher
elevation locations in the North Carolina mountains will remain
below freezing today. Sunny skies and temperatures climbing into the
mid 30s to mid 40s across the lower elevations will lead to more
melting/drying over the course of the day. Higher elevations will
see highs range from the upper 20s to mid 30s. Temperatures will not
be as cold tonight, but will fall well below freezing again, ranging
from the upper teens to mid 20s. Thus, patchy black ice could remain
a problem tonight into Tuesday morning for areas with lingering
snowpack.


Key message 2: Temperatures gradually warm thru the first half of
the week. Precipitation chances return late Tuesday and linger
into Thursday with mostly dry conditions expected for the remain-
der of the week.

Flat upper ridging will be translating across the Ohio Valley and
the Appalachians by Tuesday morning while upper shortwave energy
dives down the eastern flank of a tall west coast upper ridge. This
will carve out a positively tilted upper trof over the Southern
Plains with a broad zone of mid/upper level SW flow extending from
the Gulf states into the Carolinas. At the same time, a sfc cold
front will drop SE across the Midwest and into the Ohio Valley/TN
with a broad area of precipitation ahead of the bndy. The leading
edge of the precipitation is expected to reach the NC mtns late
Tuesday evening where rain chances are the highest. The latest
guidance continues to struggle to maintain much precip coverage
east of the mtns due to the upper trof orientation, lack of any
stronger forcing, and a poorly-developed sfc low. The latest gui-
dance hasn`t changed much wrt temperatures late Tuesday thru early
Thursday, with most ensembles members not quite cold enough for
wintry precip east of the mtns. Nonetheless, I still have a low-
end chance for a rain/snow mix east of the mtns but no real accu-
mulations. Any snow accumulations in the mtns are still expected
to be below Advisory criteria. Beginning Thurs afternoon, things
look mostly dry for the rest of the week and thru the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: Dry and VFR through Tuesday morning. All
sites except KAVL pick up from the SW by mid-morning; KAVL remains
light NW. Winds become light and variable overnight. A few cirrus
will drift in this morning with some stratocu or altocu also seen
during the day over the TAF terminals; some MVFR level clouds could
bank along the TN/NC border tonight but not likely affecting KAVL or
other TAF sites.

Outlook: Dry and VFR through at least midday Tuesday. A cold
front brings precipitation and possibly periodic restrictions back
Tuesday night into late Wednesday. Brisk winds and some rain or
light snow chances may return to the mountains late Friday.

&&

.CLIMATE...
RECORDS FOR 02-02

               MAX TEMPERATURE         MIN TEMPERATURE
  STATION      HIGH        LOW         HIGH        LOW
  -------  ----------  ----------  ----------  ----------
   KAVL      76 1989     16 1908     52 1988     -2 1917
   KCLT      80 1989     29 1908     61 1923     10 1917
   KGSP      77 1989     28 1951     60 1923      9 1900

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.

&&

$$

AR/JPT/RWH/TW